2024 Study: Who’s Moving to Florida and Why?

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Key Findings

  • According to HireAHelper data, 11.4% more people moved to Florida than left in 2023. 
  • In 2023, Wesley Chapel, FL (+106%) and Ocala, FL (+104%) had the highest net gain of new residents
  • The Miami, FL metro area had the highest net losses (-58%) in terms of moving
  • Ten times more people left Florida in 2023 for “change of climate” (≈43,000 people) than moved there for the same reason (≈3,700)
  • Retirement accounted for 8% of those moving to Florida in 2023
  • New Florida residents (average age 43) are, on average, 10 years older than Americans leaving Florida (average age 33)

In an episode of Seinfeld titled The Pony Remark, the eponymous character says, “My parents didn’t want to move to Florida, but they turned sixty and that’s the law.” Airing in 1991, the quote from this episode reflected a broader truth that many Americans were moving to Florida in droves during that time — especially New Yorkers

While Florida does have a history of being a retirement magnet that goes back to the 1910s, looking at migration to The Sunshine State through the lens of retirement moves would be reductive. As many as 4.3 million people moved to Florida from other U.S. states in the 1990s. Based on Census Bureau figures, for nine of 10 years of that decade, Florida was the #1 state Americans moved to.

 

“‘New job or transfer’…was by far the most common reason for moves bound for the Sunshine State, accounting for over half (~54%) of all moves to Florida in 2023.”

 

In this study, we delve into the migration trends shaping Florida today. Using a mixture of the U.S. Census and HireAHelper data, we explore moves to, from, and within Florida, and see which cities attract the most residents. We also outline the typical demographics of Florida movers, highlight the top reasons for people moving to or from Florida, and show how both have changed over time.


Southbound and Down: Three Decades of Migration to Florida 

In the last 10 years alone, Florida welcomed 3.4 million Americans as new residents. That’s roughly the population of the whole state of Utah! Of those, more than a third (1.2 million) moved to the Sunshine State since 2020, according to the Census Bureau’s statistics.

And it shows. As per the latest population statistics available, two-thirds (66%) of Floridians were born elsewhere in the United States, which is second only to Nevada (74%).

For a state that’s as large as Florida, it’s rather common to see this high volume of moves. What’s more remarkable is Florida’s net migration numbers remain positive. Meaning, that more people continue to move to the Sunshine State than leave it. 

According to HireAHelper estimates, approximately 11% more Americans moved to Florida than left in 2023, with an average of 13% net gain in residents in the last six years (which is as far back as our records go).


Along U.S. 1: Top Origins States to Florida are on the East Coast

And which states supplied all these new Florida residents? Migration to Florida used to be heavily dominated by New York, which was, according to the Census Bureau data, the #1 origin for moves going to Florida between 1990 and 2010.

In the last decade, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Ohio have featured prominently on the list of states sending most people to the Sunshine State. Most recently, though, the top spot belonged to Georgia. In 2023, around 87,000 people moved from Georgia to Florida, which represented a quarter of all interstate moves destined for the Sunshine State in 2023.

State % of moves to Florida
Georgia 23.3%
New York 20.5%
Maryland 15.8%
Ohio 10.0%
Texas 9.4%
New Jersey 6.5%
Virginia 3.1%
North Carolina 2.7%
Arkansas 2.3%
Arizona 1.7%

Other states that contributed the most new residents to the Florida population in 2023 include New York (~21%), Maryland (~16%), and Ohio (10%). 

To see how many people moved to Florida from your state, check out our interactive map below. You can also use the drop-down to go back in time and see how that’s changed over the years.


Jobs, Retirement, and Housing: Top Reasons for Moving to Florida

Many may associate moves to Florida with retirement, but the overwhelming majority of people heading to this state are doing it for job-related reasons. 

“New job or transfer”, as the U.S. Census Bureau calls it, was by far the most common reason for moves bound for the Sunshine State, accounting for over half (~54%) of all moves to Florida in 2023.

Buying a home was the second most common reason for Americans relocating to Florida, with around 12% of all newly arrived Florida residents in 2023 making a move.

And then, there’s retirement – a reason responsible for 8% of all moves Americans made to Florida last year

Buying a home in Florida and moving there is a fairly recent trend. A historic high of 20% of moves to Florida in 2022 were made for this reason, but it was never this common further in the past.

Conversely, “change of climate” declined as a reason for moving to Florida in recent times. Remember that to the Census Bureau, “change of climate” can mean either escaping the consequence of climate change (like flooding or hurricanes) or wanting more sunshine. 

Accounting for roughly 10% of moves in any given year before 2020, less than 6% of people moving to Florida in the last three years did it because of the weather.


Move Over, Miami: Most Florida-Bound Moves Are Destined for the Gulf Coast

So with all those people moving to Florida, where are they choosing to live? In 2023, nearly half (48%) of all newcomers to Florida went to one of the following metro areas: Sarasota, FL (~24%), Tampa, FL (~13%) and Miami, FL (~12%).

Those familiar with Florida’s geography should notice that Sarasota, FL and Tampa, FL are on the Gulf Coast, as are five more metros that made the top 10 moved-to cities in the state.

Not only were Gulf Coast destinations most popular in 2023, but they also showed significant growth in the number of moves they attracted. 

Sarasota, FL had 45% more moves in 2023 than the year before, while Tampa, FL registered a 53% annual growth in inbound moves over the same period. Pensacola, FL had 13% more out-of-staters move in 2023, while Naples, FL received twice as many new residents from outside Florida, compared to 2022.

Curiously, even though the Miami metro area did make the top 3 destinations for out-of-state moves to Florida, its appeal appears to be declining. The city’s 9% year-over-year decrease in the number of new residents from other states in 2023 followed a more precipitous drop of 33% in the year prior.

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Cheaper, Safer, Quieter: More Floridians Move to Smaller, Inland Cities

Despite a significant number of people moving to Florida from other parts of the U.S., the overwhelming majority of moves these days are local. The latest Census Bureau statistics showed that 54% of those moving stayed within the same county, while our data showed that the average distance of a move in 2023 was 32 miles.

Based on data from HireAHelper moves in Florida, the two cities that saw the greatest net inflow of new residents in 2023 are Wesley Chapel, FL (+106%) and Ocala, FL (+104%).

 

“In 2023, the average household income of those moving to the Sunshine State was $104,000. Not only is it significantly higher than the national average of $74,580, but it is also 44% higher than the income of those leaving Florida…”

 

Other cities that had more people move in than leave include St. Augustine, FL (58%), The Villages, FL (+50%), Pensacola, FL (+49%), and Port St. Lucie, FL (+48%).

One trend likely impacting moves within Florida is extreme weather, as some Floridians flock inland to places like Ocala and The Villages to escape the hurricanes and the associated high home insurance costs in coastal areas. Nowhere in Florida is completely safe from a hurricane, but it seems moving away from certain coastal areas may be relatively safer.

Another consideration for moving decisions is traffic congestion and the high cost of living in Florida’s larger metros. These issues may be behind people’s moves to more suburban areas, such as Bradenton, FL or Port St. Lucie, FL. 

10 Cities with Largest Net Gains Net Moves, % 10 Cities with Largest Net Losses Net Moves, %
Wesley Chapel, FL 106% Hollywood, FL -58%
Ocala, FL 104% Fort Lauderdale, FL -50%
St. Augustine, FL 58% Palm Harbor, FL -42%
The Villages, FL 50% Miami, FL -38%
Pensacola, FL 49% Cape Coral, FL -37%
Port St. Lucie, FL 48% West Palm Beach, FL -35%
Gainesville, FL 44% Tampa, FL -34%
Clermont, FL 43% Fort Myers, FL -31%
Port Orange, FL 27% Orlando, FL -31%
Daytona Beach, FL 23% Pompano Beach, FL -28%

In contrast, cities that had lost the most residents are Hollywood, FL (where 58% more people left than moved in), Fort Lauderdale, FL (-50%), and Palm Harbor, FL (-42%). Miami, FL wasn’t too far off with 38% more outbound than inbound moves in 2023.

Local reports suggest that the high cost of housing could be what’s driving moves out of cities in Miami-Dade County. Home prices reached up to 50% higher and rents were 30% higher in this area, compared to other places in Florida.

Our interactive map shows how other cities have fared in terms of people moving in and out in 2023, based on HireAHelper data.


Ocala for Cheaper Housing, Melbourne for Retirement: Moves to Florida Cities by Reason

If we look at why people are moving to different cities in Florida, a few interesting patterns begin to emerge.

According to our analysis of the Census Bureau data, 57% of people who moved to Ocala, FL did so because they bought a home there. New jobs were the main driver of moves to Naples, FL (58%) and Bradenton, FL (38%), while those moving to Port Saint Lucie, FL did so predominantly because they wanted a better home (41%) or a better neighborhood (36%).

Two cities on Florida’s Atlantic coast, Palm Bay, FL and Melbourne, FL, had around 40% of people moving there for retirement. 

Finally, cheaper housing greatly contributed to those moving to Lakeland, FL (32%) and Naples, FL (30%). 

But with some of the highest home prices in the state, Naples, FL being a destination “for cheaper housing” is surprising. Its status as a top 10 contender for those moving into Florida from other states might explain this discrepancy.


Older, Higher in Income, Mostly White: Demographics of Americans Moving to Florida

According to the figures from the Census Bureau, Americans moving to Florida were, on average, 43 years old and over half of them (53%) were women. Generationally, 56% of them are either Gen X (30%) or Baby Boomers (26%).

While 43% of newcomers to Florida were married, almost one in five (19%) were divorcees, which was the 4th highest proportion among all states.

From a racial standpoint, 75% of those moving to Florida were white, which was significantly higher than the 60% of white Americans among interstate movers nationally.

40% of Americans opting to move to Florida have a college degree (undergraduate or postgraduate), which was only slightly lower than the average of 43% of interstate movers nationally in 2023.

Looking at the demographics of people moving in and out of Florida, income is one characteristic that stands out. In 2023, the average household income of those moving to the Sunshine State was $104,000. Not only is it significantly higher than the national average of $74,580, but it is also 44% higher than the income of those leaving Florida ($72,427 on average).

This 44% difference between the incomes of those moving in and those moving out was the also highest it has been in over 30 years.

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Younger, Mostly Single, Mostly People of Color: Demographics of Those Leaving Florida

With an average age of 33.5, two-thirds (67%) of Floridians who left the state in 2023 are either Millennials (36%) or Gen Z (31%)

Unlike those moving in, the majority (54%) of people who left Florida last year are people of color, with roughly equal shares of black (24%) and Hispanic Americans (24%).

When it comes to their marital status, 53% of former Florida residents choosing to move elsewhere are single. It must be noted that the Census Bureau’s definition of “single” includes cohabiting couples that aren’t married in the legal sense of the word.

As noted above, those leaving Florida earn significantly less than those moving in. 


Jobs, Family, and Climate: Top Reasons for Leaving Florida

Speaking of leaving Florida, over 285,000 Americans left the Sunshine State in 2023. The most common reason for such a move was a new job (37%).

The second most stated reason for leaving Florida is the “other family” reason (16%), which the Census Bureau defines as moving in with or closer to family members.

The third most popular one — “change of climate” — was responsible for 15% of all moves out of Florida last year.

As stated earlier, the reason encompasses both those who move in search of better weather and those who move to escape climate change. What’s remarkable about this statistic is that in 2023, ten times as many people left Florida for climate-related reasons (≈43,000) than moved in (≈3,700).

Since the Census Bureau has started tracking reasons for moving in their Current Population Survey, the number of Americans leaving Florida for climate-related reasons has never outnumbered those moving into the state — until 2021. 

Due to the ambiguous definition of this reason for moving, it’s impossible to say with 100% certainty that all those who left Florida for climate reasons were escaping climate change. 

However, hurricanes in the state have been getting stronger and more devastating, and the temperatures are growing increasingly higher, especially in the southern parts of the state.


Cost, Size, Distance: Industry Stats on Florida Moving

For all the moving in, out, and within Florida, it remained one of the cheapest states in terms of moving costs.

The average price of a move was $390 in 2023, making Florida the 9th cheapest state for moving. Moving prices held surprisingly steady and only grew 4% in the last year, up from $375 in 2022.

 

“Migration to Florida used to be heavily dominated by New York, which was, according to the Census Bureau data, the #1 origin for moves going to Florida between 1990 and 2010.”

 

Much like in the rest of the US, the distances of moves in Florida decreased. With spikes up to 70 miles on average in the pandemic years, the average move distance in Florida in 2023 was 31.5 miles.

The average size of homes people are moving into and out of in Florida is 1,546 square feet. That is just under the typical size of a home in the Sunshine State, which is 1,694 square feet.


Sources and Methodology

HireAHelper’s Florida Migration Study used the following data sources: 
Net gains and losses in people moving in/out for both states and cities were calculated as the ratio of:
  • # of people moving into the state or city, to
  • the # of people moving out of the state or city,
  • expressed as a percentage (%)
Comparisons of net gains and losses only include cities with at least 50 in- or out-moves.

2023 Study: 3 Million Moves Driven by Extreme Weather Events Last Year

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Key Insights

  • 3 million Americans were displaced by a natural disaster at some point in the last year
  • 530,000 (or 18% of those 3 million) still haven’t returned home after being displaced
  • 25% of moves forced by natural disasters are people destined for a different state
  • Hurricanes and storms were responsible for 51% of all the disaster-related moves in 2022
  • Fires are most likely to result in long-term or permanent displacement, as 45% of those displaced by fires in 2023 never returned home

In this study, HireAHelper takes a close look at moves forced by natural disasters in the United States.

Using the most recent data from the Census Bureau’s large-scale Household Pulse Survey and Current Population Survey, we focused on the number of disaster-forced moves over time, their typical destinations, as well as the types of disasters forcing most Americans out of their homes.


natural disaster movesDisplaced or Moved Permanently: Counting the Number of Americans Fleeing Natural Disasters

Census Bureau’s Household Pulse Survey puts the number of Americans displaced by a natural disaster at 3 million.

This figure made national news earlier this year and represents the number of Americans who self-reported as being displaced from their home because of a natural disaster at some point in the past year.

3 million is a large number, but it’s worth noting that most displaced moves are temporary. According to the same survey data, 33% of those Americans who have been forced to leave their home due to a natural disaster at some point in the past 12 months return home within just a week.  

A further 31% go back home within a month and 19% return after six months to a year away from their usual residence.

That said, as of May 2023, 18% of Americans displaced by a natural disaster still haven’t returned home after 12 months. This is equivalent to 533,000 people needing to figure out life in a new place after their previous living arrangement became untenable.  

If we look at more permanent moves, however, the number of people who moved due to a natural disaster in 2022 is around 88,000. This figure comes from the Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey which targets “…individuals who have usual residences elsewhere,” meaning it reflects the number of people who moved permanently.

The most likely reason for the discrepancy between the number of permanent movies and the number of those still home after 12 months is timing. Current Population Survey data was released in late 2022 and could have been too early to reflect the full impact of disasters such as Hurricane Ian. In turn, Household Pulse Survey from April-May 2023 would already include people who have been displaced by extreme weather events in late 2022 and early this year.


States With the Most Americans Affected

One state stands out in terms of how many of its residents have been forced to flee their homes because of a natural disaster: Louisiana

7.5% of people once residing in Louisiana had to, even if temporarily, leave their homes in the wake of a cataclysm in the past year — that’s one in 13 people. 

 

“Not only is Texas by far the most common destination for moves made by those fleeing a natural disaster, but it’s also the state with the highest number of disaster refugees relative to the local population (58 per 10,000).”

 

Why? Even though there weren’t any singular stand-out disasters here in the past year, parts of the state are still recovering from the damage caused by Hurricane Laura in 2020 and Hurricane Ida in 2021.

The second most affected state is Florida, where 5.6% of residents found themselves displaced at one point or another in the past 12 months. And while Louisiana hasn’t experienced a major cataclysm last year, Florida had Hurricane Ian to contend with, which was one of the worst hurricanes in U.S. history.

Kentucky (2.6%), Alaska (2.5%), Michigan (2.2%), and New Mexico (2%) are the only other states where the share of those displaced by disasters rose above 2%. Everywhere else, the percentage of residents who had to leave their homes due to a natural disaster was reportedly under 2% of residents.


Wind and Fire: Disasters that Displace the Most Americans

Between hurricanes, wildfires, and tornadoes, what extreme weather events cause the greatest number of Americans to uproot their life and move?

 

“7.5% of people once residing in Louisiana had to, even if temporarily, leave their homes in the wake of a cataclysm in the past year — that’s one in 13 people.”

 

In absolute terms, it’s by far hurricanes that account for the lion’s share of displacements — 41%. Together with tornadoes, they are responsible for over half (51%) of all disaster-related moves in the United States.

Meanwhile, wildfires are responsible for 23% of all displaced moves in the past year, while floods account for 26% of such moves, depending on the source.

Events such as earthquakes, landslides, and volcanic activity also contribute to the displacement of people, though at smaller scales.


Impacts Per Type of Disaster

Despite hurricanes causing most of the displaced moves in the United States, their impact tends to be short-term. The share of those displaced by hurricanes that return home within a month is 67% and only 10% are displaced for more than a year.

On the other hand, 45% of those who escaped wildfires can’t return home even after a year of being forced out. Tornadoes have the second displacement effect with a quarter (24%) of those who had to move out because of a tornado still aren’t home after 12 months away.


Location-Based Insights:

  • Louisiana (7%) and Florida (5.6%) have the highest proportion of people displaced by a natural disaster in the last 12 months
  • Texas is the destination for 37% of all disaster-driven interstate moves since 2005
  • Texas (58), Tennessee (51), and Mississippi (48) are the most welcoming states, with the highest ratio of disaster refugees per 10,000 people
  • New York (2.7), Kentucky (2.8), and New Jersey (3) have the fewest incoming displaced moves per 10,000 residents

How Far and Where To: Top Destinations of Displaced Moves

Compared to regular moves for work or family reasons, permanent moves caused by a natural disaster tend to go a bit farther, or, at least historically. 

Since 2006, two-thirds (65%) of Americans who move tend to stay within the same county, compared to just over half (55%) of those displaced by natural disasters stay nearby.

Conversely, 25% of those who moved due to a natural disaster went to a different state, compared to 15% of non-disaster-related moves, figures from the Current Population Survey show. 

It’s these longer-distance moves of those displaced by an extreme weather event that reveal an interesting pattern.

Since 2006, 37% of Americans who had to resettle outside their state as a result of a natural disaster went to one state – Texas. 

Not only is Texas by far the most common destination for moves made by those fleeing a natural disaster, but it’s also the state with the highest number of disaster refugees relative to the local population (58 per 10,000).

Tennessee (51) and Mississippi (48) follow as the second and third states by the number of domestic disaster refugees per 10,000 local residents.

Other states that have welcomed a significant number of displaced Americans include the three Midwestern states of Missouri (30), Wisconsin (28), and Michigan (26). Rounding off the top 10 are Arkansas and Georgia — both with 24 resettled Americans per 10,000 local residents since 2006.

State Disaster Moves per 10,000 residents State Disaster Moves per 10,000 residents
Texas 58.2 New York 2.7
Tennessee 50.9 Kentucky 2.8
Mississippi 47.7 New Jersey 3.0
Wyoming 35.0 Connecticut 3.0
Missouri 30.1 California 3.2
Wisconsin 27.7 Indiana 5.1
Michigan 25.9 Nebraska 5.6
Oregon 25.5 West Virginia 5.9
Arkansas 24.4 Alaska 6.4
Georgia 23.9 Ohio 6.5

New York (2.7 per 10,000 people) and Kentucky (2.8) are the states with the lowest intake of displaced Americans compared to the local population, followed by New Jersey (3), Connecticut (3), and California (3.2), where the share of disaster-displaced new residents to the local population is around 3 per 10,000.

To see how many Americans displaced by natural disasters each state welcomed, check out our interactive map.


Tides of Change: Moves Forced by Disasters Over Time

The number of Americans who moved due to a natural disaster hasn’t reached the level of Hurricane Katrina since then. That storm was a cataclysm that claimed over 1,000 lives,  forced over 1 million people out of their homes in late August 2005, and is generally considered one of the costliest cataclysms in U.S. history.  

But there have been some spikes of displacements of over 100,000 that have coincided with U.S. natural disasters, such as Hurricane Ike in 2008, Hurricane Florence in 2018, and the California Wildfires of 2019.

The Current Population Survey data reflect more permanent moves, meaning the true number of people who were forced to move temporarily due to various cataclysms is likely a lot higher. 

Fortunately, most Americans who had to flee their home due to a natural disaster eventually return home.


Sources and Methodology
Figures on the number of Americans that have been displaced by a natural disaster in the past 12 months, their place of residence, how long they were away from their homes, and what event caused them to leave their homes were all taken from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Household Pulse Survey.
Statistics on the number of Americans who were forced to relocate due to natural disasters over time, the length of their moves, and their destinations were taken from U.S. Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey (as available via IPUMS.)
U.S. Census Bureau’s state population estimates were used to calculate how many natural disaster refugees each state accepted per 10,000 residents.
Illustrations by Jiaqi Zhou

2023 Study: Where, How and Why Are Americans Moving This Year?

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Key Findings

  • More than half (52%) of all moves in America take place in the summer
  • Our survey findings suggest 40% plan on moving at some point this year
  • ‘Family’ (30%) and ‘Wanting More Space’ (25%) are the top reasons for moving this year
  • A total of 38% are moving for financial reasons, such as inflation, cost of living, and housing unaffordability
  • Climate change is a factor mentioned by 15% of Americans planning to move this year
  • 40% of those moving intend to stay within their city, but 18% are set on moving to a different state
  • More than half (55%) of those not moving this year would move if they had the means

 

Every year, millions of Americans move, and over half (52%) of those moves take place during what we in the moving business call “moving season” — otherwise known as the summer months of May through August.

So what does the moving season hold for us this year? To get a sense of how many Americans intend to move, when they’re going to move, and what drives their moving decisions, HireAHelper conducted a nationally representative survey of 2,000 adults in the U.S. earlier this month.

 

“The state most people have their sights on is California, where 11% would move if finances weren’t an issue.”

 

38% of Americans we surveyed intend to move at some point in 2023, collectively citing “Family“, “Looking for More Space” and “Wanting To Save Money” as the top reasons. A further 35% would move if they could, but find themselves struggling to afford housing where they want to live, or are struggling to afford the move itself.

Let’s delve into the findings and see how Americans look ahead to the 2023 moving season.


Moves in the Making: Four in Ten Americans Plan To Move in 2023

an illustration of someone taping a box. In the corner it's labeled fragileAs we noted earlier, nearly four in ten (40%) of our survey respondents said they are planning to move at some point this year. 

Moving intent is highest among the younger generation, as almost half (49%) of Gen Z respondents reported a planned move for sometime in 2023. And while this intent is still strong with Millennials (42%), it gradually fades with age, and dropping to a reported 27% for Baby Boomers.

Interestingly enough, Parents (41%) are more likely to be planning a move in 2023 than Non-Parents (36%). That said, that only applied to families with one or two kids. For families with three or more children, the percentage of those staying put exceeds the percentage of prospective movers.

Renters (46%) are more likely to be on the move than Homeowners (30%). However, only 25% of renters who are moving expect to own their next home, as 59% of renters reported moving to another rental.

Where are people leaving?

an illustration of white plates and cups being wrapped in brown packing paper. A currently empty cardboard box sits nearbyAmong people living in America’s biggest metropolitan areas, the intent to move is highest in Washington, D.C. (72%) and Los Angeles, CA (55%). There, the majority of residents we surveyed reported having plans to move at some point this year.

In San Francisco, CA (47%), New York, NY (46%), Philadelphia, PA (46%), and Houston, TX (45%), the share of people who reported intent to move this year fell just below half.

Conversely, within the metros of Charlotte, NC (16%), Orlando, FL (32%), and Chicago, IL (32%), the moving intent is the lowest among all metros with a sufficient number of respondents.

At the state level, New Jersey residents seem most keen to move (56%), whereas those in North Carolina (24%) are least likely to relocate in 2023.


Family, Square Footage and Finances: Top Reasons Why Americans Are Moving in 2023

The number one reason for those intending to move this year was reasons related to “Family” (30%), (such as “Being Closer to Family Members,”) with “Wanting More Space or a Bigger Home” (~25%) being the second most popular choice.

 

“Those who do plan on hiring some help for their move are looking to spend an average of $675…[and those] who expect to move without hired help are looking to keep it at an average of $312.”

 

However, if we look at the financial reasons, we’ll find that many Americans are moving either because of  “Foreclosure/Eviction” (7.5%), “Can’t Afford (Their) Current Housing” (10.7%), “(Moving Somewhere With) A Lower Cost of Living” (15.3%), or “Inflation” (17.2%).

If we add up all the respondents that said at least one of these financial reasons applies to them, the total share of Americans who intended to move due to financial pressures rose to 38%.

an illustration of a canvas wrapped in bubble wrap. it's stood on top of other packed boxes. Granted, the higher rates of inflation from 2022 seem to have leveled out, but our findings suggest that financial pressures continue to compel a significant number of Americans to relocate.

The financial reasons above were mentioned at the following rates by these demographics:

  • Families with children (40%) compared to childless households (37%)
  • People of color (44%) compared to white Americans (36%)
  • Renters (41%) compared to homeowners (35%)

Other popular reasons for moving in 2023 include “New Job” (16.2%), which, in fact, is more popular than moving due to “(Becoming) Unemployed” (9.8%).

Curiously, and unfortunately, more people are moving due to an “End of a Relationship/Divorce” (10.3%) compared to those moving due to a “New Relationship or Got Married” (7.1%).

an illustration of boxes being moved with a dollyOne significant reason that’s beginning to factor into the moving plans of Americans is “Climate Change” (14.9%), which is in fact distinct from “Want Nicer Weather” (10.4%).

According to estimates based on U.S. Census Bureau data, climate change affects some 20,000 moves per year, with experts suggesting that figure is set to increase.


Getting Practical: Planned Moving Distance and Estimated Cost

Based on our survey responses, 40% of people who are planning to move in 2023 are staying within the same city, while 33% intend to leave their current city, yet still stay within the same state.

Impressively, 18% of respondents intend to move to a different state. Specifically among those respondents, their reasons given were for “Better Weather” (38%), a “New Job” (34%), “Being Closer to Family” (21%), and “Seeking a Lower Cost of Living” (21%).

Thinking about the cost of their move, 44% intend to spend between $100 and $500 on moving, with an overall average being slightly higher at $530. This estimate includes buying moving boxes, potentially renting a truck, maybe hiring movers, etc.

Needless to say, not all Americans who plan on moving intend to hire movers, but 52% of them do, while 48% either intend to execute the move themselves or haven’t decided yet.

Those who do plan on hiring some help for their move are looking to spend an average of $675 between boxes, truck rentals, and movers. Those who expect to move without hired help are looking to keep it at an average of $312. (This figure is in line with nationwide averages of moving costs.)

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Would If I Could: Common Barriers Preventing Americans from Moving

Quite a few Americans are planning to move this year, and the number could have been even higher if it weren’t for certain factors keeping people from moving.

Of those respondents that aren’t moving this year or aren’t sure yet, 55% would move if they had the means and opportunity. The main reason they can’t move? They can’t afford it. People claimed they “Can’t Afford To Move” (58%) or they “Can’t Afford Housing Where (They) Want To Live” (38%).

But it’s not just the financial worries that keep Americans from moving. About a quarter of respondents in our survey who’d move if they could selected “Would Be Too Far Away From (Their) Family” (24%), “Worried About Making a Big Change” (25%) or “Worried It May Not Work Out” (27%), respectively.

Perhaps these concerns, as well as the general decline in the percentage of Americans moving partially explains why, our study found that, on average, Americans now move an average of eight times in their lifetime, down from a 2007 estimate of 11.7 times.


Dream Destinations: Where Would Americans Move if Anything Was Possible

One question we asked in our survey was about the state Americans would move to if money was no object. 

The state most people have their sights on is California, where 11% would move if finances weren’t an issue. Notably, Hawaii and Florida were the dream destinations for 9% of Americans, while New York and Colorado were the top choices for an additional 5% of respondents. 

Texas — a state that’s recently been a popular destination for corporate moves — would also be the go-to place to be for 4% of respondents.

A surprising 4% would leave the United States altogether if they could, but as many as 9% of our respondents would not choose to leave their state, even if money was no object.


Sources and Methodology
All data, unless otherwise stated, have been derived from the findings of the survey HireAHelper ran via Pollfish in May 2023. The survey used a nationally representative sample of 2,000 adults (18+) living in the United States.
Survey results were weighted by age, gender, and income using data extracted from the American Community Survey’s five-year data, collected from ~120,000 households.

Illustrations by Nero Hamaoui

2022 Study: How Many Americans Have Moved Due to Climate Change?

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Key Findings

  • Since 2010, over 250,000 Americans have left the counties most at risk for climate change; over 75% of those moves took place in the last five years
  • An estimated 21,000 people relocated to escape climate change in 2020
  • People fleeing climate change were over four times more likely to leave the state (64%) compared to those moving for other reasons (14%)
  • Moves out of counties at risk for extreme heat (45%) and droughts (37%) accounted for 82% of all climate change-related moves in the United States
  • Almost 10 million people were displaced by natural disasters in the United States from 2008 through 2020, according to Global Displacement Database

 

“The great climate migration is already here,” reads the headline of this New York Times article from July 2020. “Climate migration will reshape America,” reads another

True as those statements may ring, many of them are based on projections looking ahead to the next 50-80 years. But how much climate-related migration is already happening in the United States — today?

In our estimate, at least 220,000 Americans moved due to climate change-related events within the last decade, with over 75% of those moves taking place in just the last five years.

This is on top of the 9.9 million Americans who, according to the figures from Global Internal Displacement Database, were forced to leave their homes due to natural disasters like storms, floods, and fires since 2008.

Putting aside any political discussions about whether natural disasters are the direct consequence of climate change, let’s look at the data on climate migration in America in 2022.

Moving for Better Weather OR Fleeing Climate Change? How We Counted ‘Climate Change Moves’

climate change movesWhen filling out the responses that make up the U.S. Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey, a survey that reaches about 60,000 American households each year, Americans who moved within the past year were asked to check off a primary reason for their move. 

Among the listed options on the survey is “change of climate” — which would make for a tidy data point to estimate climate migration, if it weren’t for its lack of definition. As it’s currently written, this answer seemingly applies both to people escaping the increasingly unbearable heat in some parts of the U.S. (e.g., Arizona) and people chasing the heat (e.g., people moving from Maine to Florida).

To avoid conflating these two motives, we focused our analysis only on the counties designated by ProPublica’s report as “most at risk for climate change”. These are areas where listing “change of climate” as a reason for moving, in our view, is more likely to mean  “escaping climate change”, and not more typical fairweather moving data.

 

“The projected number of people leaving the most-at-risk counties is 40,000-50,000 per year. These are moves that otherwise would have no reason to happen.”

 

Then, by analyzing the moves out from these counties using extra data from the American Community Survey (a survey reaching 1-2 million Americans each year), we were able to more confidently estimate the motivations of people who both moved away and listed “change of climate” on the U.S. Census survey as their primary reason for moving.

Ten Years of Climate Change Moves: A Quarter of a Million Moves Since 2010

Since 2010, about a quarter of a million (or ~251,000) Americans who cited “change of climate” as their main reason for leaving originated in counties most at risk for climate change. These are counties that, according to the report by ProPublica, have the highest risk levels for issues such as:

  • Extreme heat
  • “Wet bulb” conditions (i.e., extreme heat plus humidity)
  • Large fires
  • Sea level rises
  • Declining farm crop yields
  • Economic damages due to weather

Based on the shape of the chart above, the year 2017 really stands out. This is likely because several notable hurricanes, including Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria, all took place that year.

While their impacts were widely felt, they likely affected many counties that were in fact already at risk for climate change; these places are frequently coastal counties where sea levels are predicted to rise, as well as counties in the Southeast, where the climate is getting hotter and hotter each year.

 

“…counties in Texas are the most frequently occuring origin points for climate change-related moves.”

 

Extrapolating from the 2010-2021 trend, presuming current climate change patterns persist at a minimum of their current rates (as they are predicted to do so), our forecast suggests moves made due to climate change will become more common. The projected number of people leaving the most-at-risk counties is 40,000-50,000 per year. These are moves that otherwise would have no reason to happen.

Torrid Texas: Counties in Lone Star State Top List of Climate Move Origins

Of the 460 counties we identified as most at risk for climate change, nearly 47% are in Texas, with the biggest climate risk in most of them (124 out of 203) being “extreme heat”.

Especially given there are so many, counties in Texas are the most frequently occuring origin points for climate change-related moves. Seven out of the top 10 counties with the highest number of people moving out for climate change reasons are in the Lone Star State.

Where to? The Most Popular Destinations of Climate Change Moves

As per our estimated climate change-related moves, people moving to escape recent weather trends are four times more likely to cross state lines as compared to moves made for all other reasons combined (64% vs 14%). This makes sense, as it takes a great distance to reach an area where the climate is substantially different from the place people are leaving behind.

We know that a considerable number of moves due to climate change originate from Texas, but where are they headed?

If they stay in America, it’s Arizona, it turns out. Maricopa County (where Phoenix is located) is the destination for 2% of all climate change moves, with Los Angeles County in California being in a close second, representing 1.9% of all climate change-based moves. (Given Arizona’s famous heat, it’s safe to predict there are many mitigating factors for a destination beyond solely climate change.)

Elsewhere, we see counties around big cities like Seattle (King County, WA), Colorado Springs (El Paso County, CO), and Chicago (Cook County, IL) — all of which received around 1% of all climate change based moves.

At the state level, California edges out other states, receiving 10% of all climate change moves from most at-risk counties. Texas, despite being an origin point of many climate change defectors, still received 9.2% of all new arrivals within the last decade. 

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Consistent with the findings in recent reports, what we’re seeing in our data doesn’t illustrate a mass exodus of Americans from states like Texas, Arizona, or Louisiana toward more climate-temperate regions like the Northeast or the Pacific Northwest. 

Instead, people continue to move into areas like Austin, TX and Los Angeles, CA, where more imminent prospects of a better-paid job and/or comfortable living outweigh the distant risk of climate change-driven disruption to livelihood that will take place decades into the future.

This suggests that whether people realize it or not, they are probably moving for climate-related reasons… yet may be at risk to repeat their actions based on where they are going.

Even still, a Redfin survey from last year found that almost half (49%) of Americans will be factoring climate change and its effects into their deciding where to move next. 

But as the adverse effects of climate change are yet to manifest themselves in ways that would make some of America significantly less liveable, climate change remains a minor consideration in the grand scheme of American internal migration — for now.


Methodology and Sources
Explore data by yourself by looking for climate move stats on each of the 460 most-at-risk counties for climate change we included in our analysis from the following places:
Illustrations by Jiaqi Zhou
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